Futures research methodology—version 20 futures research methodology—version 20 linstone, harold a 2004-03-01 00:00:00 this remarkable effort was stimulated by the millennium project created and led by jerome c glenn and theodore j gordon the scope of the task is best grasped by presenting the table of contents of the disk, listing each section and its contributor(s): 1. Futures research methods are both descriptive and prescriptive descriptive methods, sometimes also called extrapolative, attempt to describe objectively what the future will be or could be. Future research types of future research suggestion the future research section of your dissertation is often combined with the research limitations section of your final, conclusions chapter this is because your future research suggestions generally arise out of the research limitations you have identified in your own dissertation in this article, we discuss six types of future research.
To achieve these objectives, a combination of research methods are employed, namely documentary review, semi-structured in-depth interviews, horizon scanning, strategic conversations, futures workshops, illustration, and web. Ac/unu millennium project futures research methodology the systems perspective 2 the systems approach is a different way of dealing with the planning and direction of action that. Normative research aims at improvements, which means that it includes evaluation of the present state of things and also of the direction of future development by definition, evaluation is only possible from somebody's point of view.
Futures research is supported by the finnish society for futures studies (established in 1980), the finland futures research centre (established in 1992), and the finland futures academy (established in 1998) in coordination with foresight units in various government agencies. Roy amara identifies new directions for futures research methodology emphasis is placed on validation and quality criteria for futures studies, and a set of initial criteria is outlined. Writing chapter 3 chapter 3: methodology (quantitative) components of chapter 3 •participants •instruments •procedures research questions •(a) the source or developers of the instrument •(b) validity and reliability information for the concept and proposal this should be in future tense example research question what is the. Jerome c glenn director, the millennium project co-editor, futures research methodology version 30 futures research methodology version 30. Research methods are the tools used to explain social phenomena and often it is more possible to challenge conclusions if you are at least conversant with the variety of methodologies and tools applied.
Explore research at microsoft, a site featuring the impact of research along with publications, products, downloads, and research careers. Futures® is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet, individuals and humanity covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal publishes new contributions to knowledge which examine possible and alternative futures of. This article shows how the author teaches futures research at the university level, her theoretical and philosophical orientation when undertaking futures research, and the methods she relies on.
The latter of course need detailed, close attention in order to establish professionalism and clear client quality expectations, but it is the former -what qualitative research is about and how it can inform marketing decisions – that the future of qualitative research will depend upon. Chapter three: research methodology 31 introduction authors calling for a combination of research methods in order to improve the quality of research (eg kaplan and duchon, 1988) equally, some institutions have tended forecasting futures research simulation role/game playing. Ac/unu millennium project futures research methodology 1 monte carlo is the name of a technique that includes random chance in the forecast by including random sampling.
Finland futures research centre (ffrc) is one of the few university departments devoted to futures research in the world jointly founded by three universities in turku in 1992, the ffrc is a department within the turku school of economics at the university of turku, finland. This paper represents the closing chapter of futures research methodology version 20 (cd-rom) published by the american council for the united nations university with in the framework of the millennium project.
Professor petri tapio lecture on futures research methods – overview, part iii february 2018, turku school of economics, finland futures research centre camera & editing: onni larri. Futures techniques used in the multi-disciplinary field of futures studies by futurists in americas and australasia, and futurology by futurologists in eu, include a diverse range of forecasting methods, including anticipatory thinking, backcasting, simulation, and visioning some of the anticipatory methods include, the delphi method, causal. Roy amara identifies new directions for futures research methodology emphasis is placed on validation and quality criteria for futures studies, and a set of initial criteria is outlined—plausibility, reproducibility, and explicitness of values and impacts.